I’m posting these to DBB because over the course of the season, I find myself constantly searching out data like this. Figure it’s easier to store right here on the site.
NFC NORTH
Packers -175
Vikings +275
Bears +750
Lions +1200
Thought: Green Bay actually feels a bit undervalued at that number. Barring a Rodgers injury, they are winning the division.
NFC EAST
Cowboys -115
Eagles +350
Commanders +400
Giants +650
Thought: The Giants have near identical odds to win their division as the Raiders do to win theirs. Just shows you how awful this division looks to be on paper. If the Cowboys weren’t such a national entity, they’d have plus odds.
NFC SOUTH
Bucs -280
Saints +450
Falcons +1000
Panthers +1100
Thought: What is there to say? On paper, this is the greatest divisional mismatch in the sport. It is Tom Brady vs. three teams that struck out on Deshaun Watson.
NFC WEST
Rams +160
Niners +195
Cardinals +325
Seahawks +1300
Thought: San Francisco is the team I’m most wary of at this stage because Trey Lance absolutely disappeared in 2021. (They had packages for him early in the year.) Is he going to be ready to be the starting quarterback in 2022? Has the bridge been burned with Jimmy G? Too many questions for odds like that.
AFC NORTH
Browns +175
Bengals +200
Ravens +225
Steelers +850
Thought: Deshaun. Watson.
AFC EAST
Bills -190
Dolphins +400
Patriots +400
Jets +2500
Thought: Miami’s odds were virtually unchanged after the acquisitions of Armstead and Hill. Proves again that Vegas is skeptical of the quarterback, and they should be. Pats are the value here.
AFC SOUTH
Colts +110
Titans +130
Jaguars +650
Texans +2200
Thought: The Matt Ryan acquisition shifted Indy into the favored position, but only slightly ahead of Tennessee. But I’ll float a few dollars on Doug Pederson turning things around quickly in Jax.
AFC WEST
Chiefs +160
Chargers +250
Broncos +250
Raiders +600
Thought: The best division in the sport and all four teams are live to win it. The Raiders are undervalued here. I don’t see a substantial gap between any of the four.
SUPER BOWL
Bill +650
Bucs +750
Chiefs, Packers +900
Rams +1100
Niners, Broncos +1500
Cowboys, Chargers +1600
Browns +1700
Bengals, Colts +2000
Ravens, Cardinals +2200
Titans +2800
Dolphins +3000
Vikings, Patriots, Raiders +4000
Eagles +4500
Saints +5000
Commanders +6000
Steelers +6500
Giants, Falcons, Jaguars, Panthers, Seahawks, Bears +10000
Lions +15000
Texans, Jets +20000
Thought: If you’re looking for a value bet at this stage, I think you’re looking to the group at +4000, specifically the Pats and the Raiders.
