I’m posting these to DBB because over the course of the season, I find myself constantly searching out data like this. Figure it’s easier to store right here on the site.
Thought: Green Bay actually feels a bit undervalued at that number. Barring a Rodgers injury, they are winning the division.
Thought: The Giants have near identical odds to win their division as the Raiders do to win theirs. Just shows you how awful this division looks to be on paper. If the Cowboys weren’t such a national entity, they’d have plus odds.
Thought: What is there to say? On paper, this is the greatest divisional mismatch in the sport. It is Tom Brady vs. three teams that struck out on Deshaun Watson.
Thought: San Francisco is the team I’m most wary of at this stage because Trey Lance absolutely disappeared in 2021. (They had packages for him early in the year.) Is he going to be ready to be the starting quarterback in 2022? Has the bridge been burned with Jimmy G? Too many questions for odds like that.
Thought: Deshaun. Watson.
Thought: Miami’s odds were virtually unchanged after the acquisitions of Armstead and Hill. Proves again that Vegas is skeptical of the quarterback, and they should be. Pats are the value here.
Thought: The Matt Ryan acquisition shifted Indy into the favored position, but only slightly ahead of Tennessee. But I’ll float a few dollars on Doug Pederson turning things around quickly in Jax.
Thought: The best division in the sport and all four teams are live to win it. The Raiders are undervalued here. I don’t see a substantial gap between any of the four.
Chiefs, Packers +900
Niners, Broncos +1500
Cowboys, Chargers +1600
Bengals, Colts +2000
Ravens, Cardinals +2200
Vikings, Patriots, Raiders +4000
Giants, Falcons, Jaguars, Panthers, Seahawks, Bears +10000
Texans, Jets +20000
Thought: If you’re looking for a value bet at this stage, I think you’re looking to the group at +4000, specifically the Pats and the Raiders.