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DaBearsBlog Picks Contest!

| December 10th, 2010

The Official Spreads for DaBearsBlog Picks Contest
Home Team in CAPS

The Only Picks That Matter: St. Louis, Detroit, Cincinnati
Jon’s Picks: Giants, Bucs, Ravens
Chris’ Picks:
Jets, Broncos, Ravens

Philadelphia
 
DALLAS
SAN DIEGO
 
Kansas City
Denver
 
ARIZONA
5½ 
NY JETS
 
Miami
4½ 
SAN FRANCISCO
 
Seattle
9½ 
NEW ORLEANS
 
ST Louis
Tampa Bay
 
WASHINGTON
Atlanta
 
CAROLINA
6½ 
Green Bay
 
DETROIT
3
NY Giants
 
MINNESOTA
1½ 
BUFFALO
Cleveland
New England
 
CHICAGO
PITTSBURGH
 
Cincinnati
4½ 
JACKSONVILLE
 
Oakland
Mon Dec 13
Baltimore
45½
 
HOUSTON

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Conversations in Chicago

| December 10th, 2010

Site Note: The Picks Contest is located one post below.  I’m leaving this one up top because I like it.  Go down and drop in your picks for this week.  Only four weeks remaining and a wide-open race to get into the Fantasy Playoffs.

One of the things I’ve deeply enjoyed about the success of this silly little blog is that it has made me exponentially more interesting to the day-to-day folks I meet in and around Chicago on my visits each year.  (I should add, to be fair, saying you work for the Tribune is not always met with enthusiastic applause.)  To prove the point, last night a lovely couple named Bob & Carol (& Ted & Alice) took time out from their Pizano’s pizza (the best I’ve had in the city) and told me in rich detail their story of attending Ron Santo’s wake.  They told me of the hundreds lined up on a frigid, snowy evening.  They told me of tears in the eyes of folks who never met the man.  They told me of the kind of dedication and passion that has caused me over the years to adopt Chicago as not only my beloved sports city but my second home. 

I didn’t start the conversation with Bob.  My scarf did.  In early 2007, as the Super Bowl approached, my friend Kathleen knitted me an orange scarf that I believe she intended to be worn by a giraffe.  If stretched out to its full length, it could wrap entirely around that silly bean in Millennium Park.  Bob didn’t initially tell me he’d recently suffered a stroke but I could tell by the sound of his voice and the movements of his mouth that he had.  I could tell speaking was not easy for him, physically or emotionally.  He asked anyway, “Are you a Bears fan?”

“How did you know that?” I asked, knowing my Bears gloves were hidden away in the inside pocket of the brown writer’s coat I bought because I’d seen Arthur Miller wearing a similar one in a photograph of him and Marilyn Monroe. 

“Your scarf is orange.”

And so began two hours of intermittent dialogue between myself and the lovely Bob & Carol – who coincidentally (though I’ve stopped believing in coincidence) have two children currently living in Hoboken, NJ.  It was only ‘intermittent’ because a Pizano’s pizza is not something you can devour while speaking and for the sake of politeness we refrained from spitting bits of onions and sausage on each other.  We talked Lovie Smith and Jerry Angelo.  We talked the Cubs and Sox adding the two best lefty power hitters on the market in Carlos Pena and Adam Dunn.  We talked about a Bulls team with a tremendous future and a Blackhawks team with a thrilling past.  (I stayed mostly silent during the hockey bits.)

But then the conversation changed.  
“I had a stroke recently,” Bob said as I noticed Carol deliberately turn her head away from the conversation.  Bob had told me he was seventy-two years old and couples that age tend to refrain from revealing too much to complete strangers.  I guess it took an hour for me to cross the stranger threshold into the land of the now-interesting dinner companion.  Carol would speak quite loudly to me throughout the night but would lean in to Bob and whisper things like “Don’t have another whiskey.  Have a beer” and “I’m worried you’re eating so much cheese.”  Carol was a sweet woman, concerned for the health of the man she adored, but she was a terrible whisperer.  Everyone in the joint could hear what she was saying.

“I’m sorry to hear that.  My grandfather had a stroke a few years ago.”  This was a lie.  A stupid, unnecessary lie.  I guess I wanted this guy to realize I was comfortable with his voice.  Comfortable with his situation.  Comfortable with him.  I’m glad he didn’t ask a follow up to my lie because I had no interest in inventing anything else.

“But I have to say, ” he continued.  “when I couldn’t speak for months, I don’t know what I would have done without sports.  When I woke up I read the sports writers and every night I watched the Cubs and I was talking in my head to both of them.  I’m glad to see someone your age will keep things going.”  Any one of the thousands of young folks who have taken the craft of sportswriting to the internet could have been sitting on that stool.  Any one of the thousands of us who believe sports are more than gossip-mongering and pop culture references.  But it was me sitting next to Bob.  And I sure was glad.

I finished my Old Style, asked the bartender to wrap up my last slab of Rudy’s Special (no mushrooms) and started the half-hour process of wrapping the extra long scarf around my neck.  Carol handed me a bar napkin and a pen and asked if I would write down my name for her.  “Would you like me email?”

“We don’t have a computer.  Well we did but it broke.”

I smiled.  A big, old smile.  I’d be nothing without computers but sometimes it makes me happy when people don’t have one.  I wrote down my name and my email anyway.  Then I wrote down the name of a hot dog place in Clifton, NJ called Rutt’s Hut – the greatest on the planet – and told Bob and Carol to send their kids there.  I shook hands with them both and turned to leave.  “Wow.  This was some night,” Bob said.  He meant it.  And in that second I realized he was right.   It was some night. 

I canceled my plan to head up State to Rossi’s and went back to my hotel.  It would be unfair to pressure a bar to try and top that.  Why would I want to?  I walked the blisteringly cold block and a half, only one thought in my mind.  How can you beat Chicago?   

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Audibles From the Long Snapper

| December 8th, 2010

Bears Make Roster Moves

If you’re one of those guys who is interested in the makeup of the practice squad, then this Sean Jensen piece is the article for you.  I wouldn’t read too much into the signing of guard Herman Johnson to the active roster unless you believe Mike Tice is actively (and wisely) looking for reasons to get Chris Williams off the field.  Brad Biggs reports that the Bears lifted Johnson off the Cards practice squad and that he weighs 360 pounds.
Side note: I really like the new layout of the Sun-Times website.  Well done over there.

Lovie Should Return in 2011
From Neil Hayes’ column in the Sun-Times:
One more win may not guarantee the Bears their first postseason berth in four years, but it will all but guarantee that coach Lovie Smith will return next season, according to league sources.

Lovie Smith, and more importantly the the rest of the coaching staff, will almost assuredly return for the 2011 season.  How can anyone argue with the work Marinelli has done on the defensive side and Martz on the offensive side?  You can’t.  So if we have to deal with a couple errant challenges and poorly used timeouts, we’ll deal with it.


Pittsburgh Fires Dave Wannstedt
Hahahahahahahahaha.  The mustache can’t win in a conference that is sending UConn to a BCS Bowl.

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Patriots at Bears Game Preview

| December 7th, 2010

The 10-2 Patriots visit the 9-3 Bears in an inter-conference showdown. Can the Bears extend their five-game winning streak, knocking off the team considered by most to be the best in the league?  Will the Pats, on a short week, be able to battle the conditions and win their eleventh game?  I think…

YOUR CONTINUALLY SURPRISING 2010 CHICAGO BEARS
OVER
NEW ENGLAND PATTY CAKES

Why do I like the Chicago Bears this week?
  • I always like the Chicago Bears.
  • I know the Patriots had an easy time with the Jets Monday night but it was still an emotional evening.  Now they have a short week and have to travel to face a good team that needs the game more.
  • Weather conditions?  We got em.  The high temperature of the day is supposed to be 23 degrees, very windy and a 70% chance of precipitation (read: snow).  This does not bode well for a Tom Brady-led offense that wants to throw it as often as they can.
  • The Patriots have a few defensive stalwarts.  Vince Wilfork is still a beast and Devin McCourty is developing into a hell of a Belichick corner.  But they are not a defense with depth and the Bears should be able to continue successfully running the perimeter and executing the short-pass offense to sustain long drives.  Even after their dominant Monday night, the Pats are allowing nearly 400 yards a game.
  • In conditions like these, the Bears return game will be the star of the show.  I’d be surprised if Bill Belichick punts the ball directly to Devin Hester but good coaches have done it before. 
  • I love the emergence of Earl Bennett as a reliable possession receiver.  With conditions and inevitably big third-down situations, I think the Duke of Earl comes up huge.
  • I think this is going to be a low-scoring game.  And in low-scoring, cold weather games I will take the better run game and special teams.
Chicago Bears 13 – New England Patriots 10
 
Site note: I am off to Chicago very early in the morning so it’ll be up to you guys to keep the site thriving with comments until the Picks Contest goes up first thing Saturday morning. 

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Why the Patriots Don’t Particularly Scare Me

| December 7th, 2010

I know this headline is going to have some folks raising an eyebrow or two.  I recognize that the Patriots are clearly the class of the AFC and look to be unbeatable at home.  I understand they may possess the best head coach/quarterback combination in the history of the sport.  But I think the normal, almost understandable reaction to their 45-3 thrashing of the Jets will be an overreaction.  The Patriots are not as good as they played Monday night.  The Jets are certainly not as bad.  But perhaps most importantly, the Bears defense is far better than this current Jets defense and better equipped to play the Pats.  Let me explain.
  • If Tom Brady is given time in the pocket, he’s lethal.  The Jets have struggled all season long to generate pressure with four men and been forced into predictable blitz schemes.  This made them susceptible to the screen and short routes all night.  The emergence of Israel Idonije opposite Julius Peppers seems to have cured this issue for the Bears. 
  • The Pats can’t run the ball effectively and the Bears are not a team they’ll want to spread out and throw 50 times at – a la their approach to the Pittsburgh Steelers. 
  • The Pats passing game is the kind of passing game the Bears love to play.  They thrive on the short slant route.  They don’t really have a home run hitter on the outside since Randy Moss was shipped to Minnesota.  The Bears are more than willing to make Brady go 10-12 plays each drive, stiffen up in the red zone and force Shayne Graham to make big field goals.
  • On the special teams front, I thought the game went errant for the Jets with the combination of Nick Folk’s ten-yards short field goal attempt and Steve Weatherford’s twelve-yard net gain punt in the first quarter.  The Bears don’t make those kinds of mistakes.
  • How many Patriots receivers were able to settle in the middle of the field and wait for the ball from Brady?  The Lovie Deuce explicitly prohibits this behavior from receivers and it does so with the guy wearing #54.
  • The player that worries me is Gronkowski from the tight end position.  He reminds of me the Jeff King-type player that always makes the big play in the seam against the Bears.
  • But the Pats defense is not good.  Don’t think last night was their defense.  The Jets offense does not score points against good opponents.
The Patriots are good.  They’re damn good.  But this is a league of match-ups and the Patriots don’t create a lot of mismatches for the Bears.  This will be a game about discipline for the Bears defenders.  They have to tackle the players in front of them.  They have to hold the front at safety.  And if they do that, they can win.    

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History Available For Cutler, Bears

| December 6th, 2010

When the Bears acquired Jay Cutler last off-season, it was one of the most exhilarating acquisitions in the history of the organization.  It filled the 2009 balloon with hyped-up air that we all watched deflate in a storm of turnovers, injuries and defensive meltdowns.  Still I defended Cutler, arguing that he is a special talent and would thrive once the organization installed the kind of system that would maximize his ability.  Watching him beat a superior Minnesota Vikings team on a cold December night on the strength of him arm alone confirmed this for me.  Lovie Smith hired Mike Martz.  And after seven up-and-down weeks, rife with attacking pass rushers and errant throws, Cutler has finally found his place as the quarterback of the Chicago Bears.

Just look at his performance over these last five unbeaten weeks.  Cutler has completed 66.2% of his passes for 1,062 yards.  He has thrown 10 touchdowns to only 3 interceptions.  He’s also rushed for 120 yards.  And while the offensive line has improved (if only incrementally) over that time, Cutler has performed as this level while being sacked 14 times in the five games.  Those numbers, projected over the course of the season, would still make the Bears the worst pass-blocking team in the league.
Cutler is not perfect.  When he abandons his mechanics, does not set his feet and believes too strongly in his own arm strength, he heaves balls into places they don’t belong.  (He has abandoned this practice down around the end zone.)  He and Martz also choose odd spots to throw deep, often on second-and-long, putting the Bears into rough third-down situations.  The absence of the genuine deep threat of late has led to the occasional bomb into double coverage.  When you’re instincts are to throw deep, sometimes you just wanna throw deep.
Now Jay Cutler enters the most important phase of his young career in Chicago.  He has reduced the turnovers, made plays with his mobility and quieted the newspaper critics who seemed to monitor his facial expressions like detectives would a suspect under the burning lamplight of interrogation.  Cutler must now lead the Bears into the postseason the way the game’s best quarterbacks do.  He must take advantage of the limited opportunities presented by playing three of your final four games in the cold, cold climates of Chicago and Green Bay.  He must not allow this team to perform with the lethargic, detached attitude they displayed over the first thirty minutes in Detroit.  And if necessary, he must outplay Aaron Rodgers on the final Sunday of the season to win the NFC North.
History is there now for Jay Cutler.  Despite the reservations of the national sports media, the 9-3 Chicago Bears are as good a contender to reach the Super Bowl as any team in the NFC.  Twenty-five years after their only Super Bowl victory, the 1985 Bears are still revered and celebrated – sometimes for $100 a ticket.  History is there now for the 2010 Bears.  And on a football field, it is up to the quarterback to seize it.  

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Thoughts on the Fifth Straight Victory

| December 6th, 2010

First, congrats to Shady – the man the fans decided should enjoy Bears v. Pats with Noah and myself Sunday.  I can’t remember the day Shady first started commenting but he’s been here an awful long time and it’ll be a pleasure to have him buy me a beer (or 3).  Shady, send me an email (jeff@dabearsblog.com). Onto the game…

  • The defense was wretched at times and our coverage units were dealing us a bad hand repeatedly but yesterday Jay Cutler and the offense kept the Bears in the game and ultimately won it.  
  • This game was defined, for me, by two drives.  The Lions touchdown drive to end the first half exposed the lethargy with which the Bears had played the entire first half and most likely incited a halftime riot.
  • And when the Bears needed a couple first downs to put the game away in the fourth, they let Cutler throw the ball.  Last week Jay Cutler became the emotional leader.  This week he became the physical leader.
  • The Bears have found their running game at the right time of year.
  • Earl Bennett is now officially the Bears #1 receiver.  So if you don’t mind, don’t go getting into Lovie’s dog house like your predecessors.  
  • Who whiffs on more blocks?  Brandon Manumaleuna or Frank Omiyale?
  • Tice & company need to stop pulling Olin Kreutz to the outside.  He simply can’t get there.
  • Loved the shot of Hester’s disappointment on the almost-score punt return.
  • Brilliant performances by Robbie Gould and Brad Maynard.
  • The Lions decided to accept the Bears perimeter pass rush and used a combination of outside runs and screens to exploit out aggressiveness.  It worked.  And the Bears better be ready for it Sunday from Tom Brady.
  • Chris Harris played his worst game of the year and it’s the first truly bad safety performance this season.  The Calvin Johnson touchdown was inexcusably poor execution.  The entire framework of the defense is designed for that play not to happen.
  • You know what’s funny about the Bears?  I can predict with 95% accuracy when they are going to commit a false start.
  • I would trade a lot for Ndamukong Suh.  I think he’s going to be the best defensive player in the league as soon as Week One of 2011.
  • The team was slow and plodding in the first half, calm and in-command in the second half.  Credit has to go to the coaching staff and Lovie Smith.
  • Smith also gets credit for having confidence in DJ Moore.  The kid can play.
  • The Bears are now 9-3, 4-0 in the division and 7-3 in the conference.  They are primed for a run to the postseason.

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DaBearsBlog Ticket & Picks Contest

| December 3rd, 2010

StubHub_Logo_RGB-1xxx.jpg
DaBearsBlog, courtesy of StubHub!, is pleased to announce that we have one (1) ticket for Sunday December 12th’s Bears vs. Pats game at Soldier Field – kicking off at 3:15 pm CST.  
I’m going to try something new with this.  I want you guys – in the comments below – to decide who gets the ticket.  Have a conversation, talk to each other, see who is available and make your individual cases.  GPLDAN will be the moderator of the discussion and will report the final decision on Monday night or Tuesday morning.

These tickets were courtesy of StubHub! 
Where Fans Buy & Sell Ticket

Point Spreads for the picks contest after the jump…

The official spreads for the DaBlog Picks Contest.  

Home team in CAPS.  
Remember, you can not use the combinations used by either of my brothers or myself.

RAVENS -3 Steeler
Rams -3 CARDINALS
COLTS -5 Cowboys
SEAHAWKS -6 Panthers
CHARGERS -12.5 Raiders
Falcons -3 BUCS
Saints -6.5 BENGALS
PACKERS -9.5 49ers
Bears -3.5 LIONS
GIANTS -7 Redskins
CHIEFS -9 Broncos
TITANS -3 Jaguars
DOLPHINS -4.5 Browns
VIKINGS -5.5 Bills
PATRIOTS -3 Jets

Jon will not be picking this week.  He picked last week and went 2-1.  (18-16-2)
The Chris Picks (16-15-2): Rams, Browns, Bears
The Only Picks (19-13-1): Bears, Jaguars, Bills