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Audibles From the Long Snapper

| October 14th, 2010

To read about my predicted 27-16 victory for the Chicago Bears, click here.

Pompei on the Williams Move
Dan Pompei does a nice job in the Trib evaluating the Bears decision to move Chris Williams inside to the guard spot, leaving Frank Omiyale as the starting left tackle (and leaving the young right side alone).

So while we can’t say Williams is a bust at left tackle, we can say he
might be a better guard than tackle. Guards make their money run
blocking. Tackles earn their money pass blocking.

Bears offensive line coach Mike Tice said Wednesday that in his
opinion, Williams is a great knee bender who is a better run blocker
now than a pass protector. And anyone who saw the Raiders’ Kamerion
Wimbley remove Williams’ jersey, shoulder pads and uniform pants in an
exhibition would not argue.

I may be in the minority with this opinion but I don’t really care where Williams plays on the offensive line, as long as he plays well.  The Bears aren’t particularly strong at any of the five positions and if Williams excels at guard, at least that’s one spot down.

Networks Buying into Da Bears
Zach Zaidman is reporting that none of the Bears final three home games will be moved into the Flex Sunday night time slot on NBC.  Mike Florio seemed to miss the point of this story when he first reported it on PFT but that didn’t last

It’s possible that CBS squatted on Pats-Bears and Jets-Bears and FOX
blocked the flexing of Eagles-Bears.  CBS and FOX each may prevent one
game per week, and up to a total of five, from being shipped to Sunday
night.

If the NFL and NBC already know one of their biggest national draws won’t be moving, the reason is exactly that.  CBS and Fox are getting tired of losing their best games down the stretch each season.

Trading Desmond Clark Has to Net Something, Doesn’t It?
I have always been a fan of Desmond Clark, one of the best tight ends the Bears have started in many-a-moon.  But as Neil Hayes documents in the Sun-Times, Clark simply doesn’t have a role in the current system.  Unlike Greg Olsen, whose future in Chicago can far exceed that of the current administration, Clark’s time left in the NFL is between 2-3 years at most.  Jerry Angelo should be on the phone with all thirty NFL teams (if he calls the Packers, I’ll kill him) and see who wants a solid tight end at a draft-pick discount.

Briggs Questionable?
Lovie Smith is a bit worried about Lance Briggs’ ankle.

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DaBlog Picks Contest

| October 14th, 2010

DaBearsBlog Saturday Show is on hiatus for this week due to our head (and only) writer’s rehearsal schedule.  We shall return one week from today.

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The official spreads for the DaBlog Picks Contest.  

Home team in CAPS.  
Remember, you can not use the combinations used by either of my brothers or myself.
BEARS -7 Seahawks
Chargers -8.5 RAMS
TEXANS -4.5 Chiefs
PATS -3 Ravens
Saints -4.5 BUCS
EAGLES -3 Falcons
GIANTS -10 Lions
STEELERS -13.5 Browns
Jets -3 BRONCOS
49ERS -6.5 Raiders
VIKINGS -1.5 Cowboys
Colts -3 REDSKINS
Titans -3 JAGS
(For our contest, Packers v. Dolphins is off the board.)

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Seahawks at Bears Game Preview

| October 13th, 2010

Last week my predictions were as good as they’ve been in a couple years, coming within 8 total points of the score.  I’m feeling it again today.

YOUR TODD COLLINS-LESS 2010 CHICAGO BEARS
over
Seattle Seahawks

Why do I like the Chicago Bears this week?
  • I always like the Chicago Bears.
  • I expect taking a week off from the passing game will leave both Mike Martz and Jay Cutler feeling a bit antsy.  Look for the Bears to use short routes to open up deep stuff down the sidelines.  Big game from Cutler, rebounding from a concussion, and a comeback game from Devin Aromashodu.
  • I hear a lot of criticism of Matt Forte, specifically from Steve Rosenbloom, but I’ll take his 531 combined yardage and 5 touchdowns.  Forte might not be the best runner or receiver but he’s certainly one of the best all-around in the game.  I don’t think his performance against the Panthers was an aberration.
  • There will be a few times in this game when a missed tackle on Marshawn Lynch will frustrate the hell out of Bears fans but that’s the kind of back he is.  But I’ve grown confident in our safeties, especially when Chris Harris is used as at his natural strong safety spot. 
  • I’d be afraid of John Carlson if I didn’t think the Seahawks will keep him glued to the tackle opposite Julius Peppers.  Carlson can block but not well enough to keep Orange Julius from getting his third and maybe fourth sacks of the season.  (Julius Peppers’ neutralizing opposing tight ends has been his unsung reward.)
  • I don’t think Seattle’s receivers are strong enough to establish positioning on the inside route or big enough to win jump balls down the field over our safeties.
  • I think the Bears are crazy to kick the ball anywhere near Leon Washington.  I also think the Bears are coached by Lovie Smith, meaning the ball will be kicked to Leon Washington.  Leon’s ability to keep the ‘Hawks out of poor field position will be what keeps the Bears from pulling away.

Chicago Bears 27, Seattle Seahawks 16

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Breaking Down the Seattle Seahawks

| October 13th, 2010

The Bears looks to move to 5-1, touchdown favorites at home, against Pete Carroll’s up-and-down Seahawks from Coffee Country.  Here’s my breakdown.

  • Seattle’s most basic attribute is their home/away splits.  They’re 2-0 at home and 0-2 on the road, having been blown out by both Denver and St. Louis.
  • Their Week 3 victory over the San Diego Chargers revealed their most dynamic weapon: kick returner Leon Washington.  Washington had two kick return touchdowns in a game where the ‘Hawks were outgained by about 300 yards.  Dave Toub and Robbie Gould should not put a kickoff anywhere near his hands until the ‘Hawks offense shows an ability to move the ball down the field.
  • This has been a bad run game, led by UFL-bound Justin Forsett.  But the Seahawks acquired Marshawn Lynch, one of the most underrated backs in the game, and had the bye week to completely insert him into their offense.  I’d be shocked if he had less than 25 carries Sunday.
  • I don’t care what anyone says about Matt Hasselbeck being done because I’ve seen him dissect this defense with too many quick slants for third-down conversions (albeit several years ago).  The difference here is I can’t remember him working with a group of receivers quite like this.  Brandon Stokley, Golden Tate, Mike Williams, Deon Butler, Michael Robinson…etc?  (This is a far cry from the Jackson, Branch and Engram combo of 2006.)
  • Defensively they rank 31st against the pass (those numbers are inflated by Phil Rivers’ 455 against them) but they have gotten to the quarterback 11 times (the number that really means something to the Bears).  Chris Clemons has a pair of sacks in his last two games and you better believe he’ll be looking at Soldier Field as the venue to pad his statistics.
  • I also had no idea how good this rush defense has been this season and it hasn’t been for a lack of opponent’s trying to run.  Each of their opponents has committed to the run and none of them have had the slightest bit of success.  (Mostly between 17 and 25 carries.)  I think the Bears will certainly try and continue last week’s success on the ground but they might be smarter to put the ball in the air quickly to soften the linebackers.
This team is not great.  This is a game the Bears should win.

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Reasons To Curb Enthusiasm…a little

| October 12th, 2010

I can live with this collection of skill players.  The safety position has been remarkably solid.  The corners, especially Peanut Tillman, have played well.  The linebackers are brilliant.  Julius Peppers is just about the best defensive player in the game right now.  So why aren’t the people covering and cheering on the Chicago Bears going through the roof about their 4-1 start to the season?  Why aren’t fans cheering on two division and four conference victories in the first five games?  Why aren’t we all reveling about the prospect of a 7-1 start to the year?  What does Mike Florio mean when he says, “Reality will eventually catch up with this team.” 

Here are three things the Bears most focus on before encountering the far-more-difficult second half of their season.
The Offensive Line
Anybody else like what they saw from the right side of the line Sunday?  Would anyone fault Mike Tice for giving Edwin Williams and J’Marcus Webb another shot against the Seahawks?  
People who know more about football than me continue to tell me that the key to good offensive line play is continuity, knowing what the guy next to you is going to do before he does it.  If Chris Williams is ready to go on Sunday, I’d like to see him back starting at left tackle and leave Frank Omiyale as the odd man out, swinging in as the new sixth man.  
Whatever the decisions are, they need to be made.  The Reverend, in last week’s great rant, accused the Bears coaches of approaching the o-line like it’s a hockey game.  He’s right.  We need to identify the five best guys and give them five or six weeks to work together.  That needs to start before the Bears face the Minnesota defensive line in four games.    

Lovie Smith’s Decisions
There’s a lot to commend Lovie Smith for through five weeks.  His coaching hires have been excellent.  His new perform-or-cut approach is leading to inspired game day performances.  But the repeated goes on fourth-and-one at the goal line and a stubborn refusal to remove Todd Collins from Sunday’s game are the kinds of decisions that keep a team from winning championships.  I have never believed Lovie Smith is a Super Bowl winning coach.  But he’s showing signs that he may become one.

Jay Cutler, Mike Martz
The development of the Cutler/Martz relationship may be dependent upon the ability of the offensive line to block but it also has to have been damaged by Martz’ sacrificial lamb act in the Meadowlands.  Offensive coordinators don’t apologize the way Martz did a week ago.  He seemed disappointed in himself.  And I liked seeing it.   

I also may be over-psychoanalyzing this situation but I believe Martz needs to re-earn Cutler’s confidence.  Short routes.  Roll-outs.  Bootlegs.  Perhaps relying on this newfangled run game.  Cutler needs to go a game or two without hitting the ground with his brain.  There’s no other choice.  And it’s up Martz to make it happen.

The Bears are 4-1.  The playoffs are in view.  Winning in the playoffs is possible.  They have twelve weeks to be better.

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Audibles From the Long Snapper

| October 12th, 2010

I should be back to full strength by tomorrow.


Cut Todd Collins
If Jay Cutler is not cleared to play Sunday, the Chicago Bears can under no circumstances allow Todd Collins to be the starting quarterback.  They should not even allow Collins to occupy a spot on the roster.  Collins was supposed to be the caretaker, the protector of the football, the wily veteran.  Instead he looked like a combination between Jake Delhomme and a drunk trying to play darts at 3:55 AM.  Why Lovie allowed him to play as long as he did Sunday is still the most unfathomable part of a rather impressive victory.

How About Them Defensive Ends?
I’d like to go on record saying that the combined performances of Israel Idonije and Julius Peppers was the most impressive from a pair of Bears defensive ends since guys like Dent and McMichael were in town.  I’d like to see Izzy perform like this consistently over the next few weeks.  (And I think credit must be given to Jerry Angelo for acquiring Peppers.)
Look at the Schedules Now
The Green Bay Packers are going to Miami this week, possibly without their starting quarterback.  The Minnesota Vikings are in a de factor playoff game with the Dallas Cowboys.  (The Vikes most famous fan, Mike Florio, wants Favre off the field.)  The Bears, with a victory, could be up a pair on the field by Sunday night and be the team with the fewest injuries and controversies.  The Sunday night in the Meadowlands will feel like two seasons ago very soon.
Da Picks Contest
SC Dave, do, augie and Who is Willie Gault each joined the perfect week club.  So many people had the Saints, Chargers and Packers.

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DaBearsBlog Saturday Show!

| October 8th, 2010

The official spreads for the DaBlog Picks Contest.  
Home team in CAPS.  
Remember, you can not use the combinations used by either of my brothers or myself.
RAVENS -7 Broncos
BILLS PK Jaguars
COLTS -8 Chiefs
LIONS -3 Rams
Falcons -3 BROWNS
BENGALS -6.5 Bucs
PANTHERS PK Bears
Packers -2.5 REDSKINS
TEXANS -3 Giants
Saints -6.5 CARDINALS
Chargers -6 RAIDERS
COWBOYS -6.5 Titans
NINERS -3 Eagles
JETS -4 Vikings