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53-Man Roster Prediction

| August 26th, 2024

Offense (25)
QB (2): Caleb Williams, Tyson Bagent
RB (4): D’Andre Swift, Khalil Herbert, Roschon Johnson, Velus Jones Jr
FB (1): Khari Blasingame
OL (9): Braxton Jones, Teven Jenkins, Coleman Shelton, Nate Davis, Darnell Wright, Ryan Bates, Kiran Amegadjie, Matt Pryor, Bill Murray
TE (4): Cole Kmet, Gerald Everett, Marcedes Lewis, Brenden Bates
WR (5): DJ Moore, Keenan Allen, Rome Odunze, Tyler Scott, DeAndre Carter

Defense (25)

DE (6): Montez Sweat, DeMarcus Walker, Darrell Taylor, Austin Booker, Dominique Robinson, Jacob Martin
DT (4): Andrew Billings, Gervon Dexter, Zacch Pickens, Chris Williams
LB (5): Tremaine Edmunds, TJ Edwards, Jack Sanborn, Amen Ogbongbemiga, Noah Sewell
CB (6): Jaylon Johnson, Tyrique Stevenson, Kyler Gordon, Terrell Smith, Josh Blackwell, Jaylon Jones
S (4):  Jaquan Brisker, Kevin Byard, Jonathan Owens, Elijah Hicks

Special teams (3)
Tory Taylor, Patrick Scales, Cairo Santos

Thoughts

If there was any drama in the 2024 53-man roster, injuries robbed us of almost all of it. Ian Wheeler goes from a Hard Knocks hopeful to being placed on season-ending IR alongside Dante Pettis, who’s been the Bears WR #5 thus far this preseason. I don’t love that Chicago hasn’t seen anything from 31-year-old DeAndre Carter this offseason, but with $375,000 in guaranteed money there’s no other WRs left to roster so I think he makes the team. That leaves three spots on the roster up for debate — OL#9 (assuming 9 OL), TE #4, and DE #6.

For OL#9, I picked Murray based on how early Chicago seems content to put him in the preseason games and the performances he’s shown us so far, but if someone else has outdone him in practice the coaching staff will likely roll with the hot hand. For TE#4, Shane Waldron uses too many TEs to not include a 4th TE & I think Bates offers Chicago a young player with production that can grow into a role as a blocker and seam-runner.

DE#6 is a stretch, but I went with Martin for now. The 53rd man on any roster could be anybody — especially given the changes to special teams that the new kickoff rule necessitates — and there’s always a chance that the Bears choose to find their 53rd player amongst cut candidates as opposed to choosing either Daniel Hardy, Jacob Martin, or Micah Baskerville.

As players go I prefer Baskerville, but in moments of ambiguity I defer to the easiest option available: guaranteed money remaining on their contracts. Jacob Martin has just over $600,000 guaranteed dollars while Baskerville and Hardy have none. Both of the latter would immediately be candidates to join Chicago’s practice squad while Martin would be lost as soon as you cut him. Thus, I think Martin is a safe pick for this spot (even if the spot itself may not be filled by a current Bear).

I do wonder if the Darrell Taylor trade signals trouble for Martin — with reports out of Seattle suggesting that Taylor plays much closer to 245lbs than his listed 265lbs, the Bears will now have two lighter ends and may not feel the need to carry three. Maybe special teams skill decides this choice, and that could lead them back to Travis Homer (who I’m cutting otherwise because he’s expensive and has disappointed me this offseason) or someone else they’ve liked this offseason. We’ll have to wait and see.

If you want more analysis, check out the latest in Bear With Us.

Your Turn: Who do you want to see make the team? Why or why not?

94 Comments

Bears Beat Bills 33-6 In Dawn Of New Era (Hopefully)

| August 12th, 2024

Caleb Williams led his Bears to a blowout in Buffalo — below are a few notes from what I saw from Chicago’s starters.

If you’d like a full recap of the weekend’s contest, check out the latest episode of Bear With Us below. 

Caleb’s First NFL Completion Proves His Poise

https://twitter.com/robertkschmitz/status/1822762254988931140

Andrew Billings Is A Force In The Run Game

Gervon Dexter Flashed Promise

I Can’t Imagine The World’s Reaction Had Caleb Completed This Pass

Your Turn: What did you see in the Bears-Bills game?

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99 Comments

Friday Note: Don’t Get Too Hung Up On Practice Reports

| August 9th, 2024

A word to the wise: try not to get too wrapped up in the “results” of individual Training Camp practices. Learning is a process, and not a linear one.

Caleb Williams is a rookie QB, practice “results” will vary — especially since they’re running him & the rest of the #1 offense against the defensive starters, as opposed to the second-string. That’s always going to push a young QB, especially when his defense is reportedly doing nothing to make life easy for him, blitzing him often and challenging his understanding of coverages early.

It’s fun to talk about practice highlights, but Caleb’s growth was always going to be a process — and not a process that will finish by September 8th. I can personally attest to having agonized over each individual Mitch Trubisky and Justin Fields Training Camp pass attempt, and as much as I’d love to tell you that those Camp performances signaled anything about their upcoming seasons… they didn’t.

I could wax on about how Caleb’s bar for this season is set by lowly Bears records like “11 total passing TDs” and “2300 passing yards in a season”, but ultimately football is a results-based business. During Training Camp we bog ourselves down in the minutia of each individual rep, each individual handoff, each individual 1-on-1, and each individual 2-Minute-Drill, but the first number that truly matters in the early season is the number the Bears put on the Soldier Field scoreboard as of ~3PM CST on September 8th.

I love to dig deep into the nitty-gritty of football, I love to obsess over the details of every snap, and while I’d love to tell you that preseason results tell us anything about a young QB’s development… they don’t. CJ Stroud’s first two preseason starts saw him complete 9 of 16 passes for 72 yards, 0 TDs, and 1 INT — he didn’t throw a regular-season INT until Week 6.

All of this to say, enjoy the growth process and don’t let it get to you. Football is fun, after all! And above all else, Bear Down.

Your Turn: What are you looking for in Caleb’s first Preseason start?

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