0 Comments

Da Saturday Show (sans show)

| September 10th, 2010

So Saturdays have traditionally been the down day of the week on our little website but I’m trying to change that.  Da Saturday Show (soon to be sponsored) will be a half hour, weekly show featuring a short commentary segment, my two brothers and I making weekly NFL picks against the spread, guests on occasion and a one-minute rant from the Reverend.  I’m still working through the kinks but the show will make its debut – in some form – next Saturday.

Here’s the fan component:

  • Each week my brothers and I will pick three games each.  At the end of the season, the winner will be given a flight – anywhere in the country – paid for by the other two. (We’ll be using Sheridan’s Odds in the Friday USA Today.)
  • In the comments for Da Saturday Show, each of you will be able to pick three games yourselves.  You can not duplicate the picks of any of the three of us.  You can use games we’ve used but not our combination.  You guys are free to use the comments to discuss whatever you like but I’m asking that your selections be in their own post.
  • We’ll do this for all seventeen weeks (starting today!).  To make the postseason, you only need to have five perfect weeks.  That means you’ll have seventeen opportunities to go 3-0.  You go 3-0 five times and you qualify for the postseason.
  • The postseason will be a Fantasy Postseason set-up that I’m quite fond of and will make every postseason game fun to watch.  (Not that the Bears Super Bowl run won’t take care of that on its own.)  The details of the set-up we’ll go over in December.
  • “What do we win, Jeff?”  I’ll tell you.  There will be varying gift certificates, in varying amounts, to all those who make the postseason.  And if you beat my brothers and I in the fantasy postseason, you’ll win a monthly column on da site from March through August.  That’s six full columns where you’ll be able to voice your opinions on the main page to the readers on free agency, the draft, OTAs and throughout training camp.

The picks this week:
(Remember you can’t use the combination chosen by myself or either of my brothers.)
Jeff
Carolina +6.5 over the Giants
Cleveland +3 over Tampa Bay
Baltimore +2.5 over the Jets

My brother Chris
San Francisco -3 over Seattle
San Diego -4.5 over Kansas City
Cincinnati +4.5 over New England

My brother Jon
San Diego -4.5 over Kansas City
Cleveland +3 over Tampa Bay
Denver +2.5 over Jacksonville

0 Comments

Bears vs. Lions Game Preview

| September 9th, 2010

And so it begins again, this holiest of holies.  The Chicago Bears, stale taste of unfulfilled promise fresh on their tongues, attempt to prove to a skeptical media and desperate fan base that they’ve made enough alterations their often-bested roster and are now fit to attend the grandest wedding of them all: the Super Bowl.  It begins Sunday in Soldier Field.  Where it ought to begin.  Where it has to begin.  Against a Detroit Lions team that is quickly becoming the in vogue pick for a turnaround season.  It begins in Chicago.  Will it end in Dallas?

YOUR HOPEFUL 2010 CHICAGO BEARS
OVER
Detroit Lions

Why do I like the Chicago Bears this week?
  • I always like the Chicago Bears.
  • I tend to like this team, specifically under this regime, much more when they’ve got something to prove.  It’s when folks are high on them, when expectations rise, they seem to stumble early and finish poorly.  I think Cutler and the offense will come flying out of the gates Sunday, scoring early and often.
  • I try not to base anything on the preseason but I can’t remember the last Bears defender who was capable of taking over a game and Julius Peppers is that player.  If the Bears are able to force the Lions into third-and-longs and Peppers makes just one or two big plays, it will make a difference on the scoreboard.  I think he plays inspired in front of his new home crowd.
  • The Bears beat the Lions last season by a total of 38 points.  I refuse to believe the Lions have made up that much ground in an offseason.
  • The Bears have two major obstacles facing them Sunday.  The Stafford-to-Johnson combination is going to get theirs, as I don’t imagine the Bears will be able to cut down on the quick-route passing game that has plagued them throughout this era.  But with their linebackers and defensive line healthy, and with Chris Harris’ tackling at safety, I don’t imagine the Lions will be able to achieve anything on the ground.
  • The other is Ndamukong Suh and I look for Mike Martz to try and confuse Suh with a combination of misdirection runs and isolations to Hester and Knox on the outside.  Suh is brilliant.  But he’s also a rookie who’ll be looking to barrel forward and kill the QB.  That is something to exploit, not fear.
  • The Bears still have one of the most reliable kicker/punter combinations in the league and are capable of scoring on every single kickoff and punt return.  Until I see otherwise, I make this a weapon opponents can not account for. 
Chicago Bears 27, Detroit Lions 20

Note: We’ll be premiering Da Saturday Show tomorrow, with my brothers and I picking three games each against the spread.  Bloggers will have a chance to weigh-in to win various prizes but you must listen to the show to know the rules.  It could be posted as early as midnight tonight.

0 Comments

What’s Your Ideal Lions Game Outcome?

| September 8th, 2010

So here’s the schedule.  Tomorrow we’ll do the season opener thread.  Friday will be my first Bears game pick column of the season and rumor has it I’ll be taking the Chicago Bears (Why DO I like the Chicago Bears this week?  Tune it and find out!)  Saturday comes the launch of DaBlog Saturday Show – a weekly picks phone/radio show that will have a cool fan component with an interesting, year-end giveaway prize.  And I’m pleased to announce that the new t-shirts are in development and will hopefully be available before the Week Two kickoff in Dallas.

____________________________________________________________

But here’s my question for Bears fans in the lead-up to our first game of the season.  And I want serious answers.  What result – and be specific as possible – would please you on Sunday at Soldier Field?  
Here’s my answer: a win.  I’d love to see Jay Cutler not throw a pick or spend any time on his back and for the defense to suffocate the Lions on third down.  But more than anything else, I’d like to see the Bears leave the field on Sunday having scored more points than the Lions.  It’s Week One and not starting 0-1, specifically against the Lions, is the priority.  

0 Comments

Picking the Postseason

| September 7th, 2010

The twelve teams that will make a run into the postseason in 2010 are:


NFC
#1 Seed – New Orleans Saints.  A rare Super Bowl champion that has improved their roster in the offseason and seems motivated to repeat.  Plus, they’ve got four wins penciled in against Carolina and Tampa.
#2 Seed – Green Bay Packers.  The Packers open the season with a banged up secondary and we’ll know how well that unit can hold up against the Eagles on opening day.  They are going to score a load of points.  
#3 Seed – Dallas Cowboys.  Fewer question marks than the remainder of the division, though I think they have a glaring one at left tackle.
#4 Seed – San Francisco 49ers. The best defense and running game in the division, coupled with the absence of Kurt Warner and Anquan Boldin made this a sort of no-brainer.  I think they may win the West at 8-8.
#5 Seed – Atlanta Falcons.  I think Matt Ryan is a hell of a quarterback and I think Carolina and Tampa are two of the worst four teams in the league. 
#6 Seed – Chicago Bears.  The Bears end the season with the Pats, at Vikings, Jets, at Packers and I think this final gauntlet will be what keeps them from winning the NFC North.  (Although nothing would be more exciting than Bears v. Packers on the final week to decide the division.)
The Surprise: Minnesota Vikings finish 8-8.  When Favre starts to pile up the excuses in the preseason, you know things are headed downhill.  I think they are going to get blitzed Thursday night and struggle to recapture the 2009 magic all year.
Wildcard Round: Bears over Cowboys, Falcons over 49ers
Division Round: Saints over Bears, Packers over Falcons
Championship Game: Saints over Packers

AFC

#1 Seed – Indianapolis Colts.  You tell me why I should stop picking them.
#2 Seed – Cincinnati Bengals.  People forget that Antwan Odom was the best defensive player in the sport before succumbing to a season-ending injury.  I love their defense and defensive coaching. I think their entire season will come down to the two matchups with the Ravens.
#3 Seed – San Diego Chargers.  I like the Raiders to be improved but the Chargers are still the class of the division and could probably stumble to double-digit wins.
#4 Seed – Miami Dolphins.  Year three of a Parcells era.  Playoffs.
#5 Seed – Baltimore Ravens.  I think the Ravens would win the East or the West.  
#6 Seed – New York Jets.  I describe the Jets as a baseball team with great frontline starting pitching but very little depth to the lineup.  If they can pile up enough wins, they’ll be hell in a five game series.  I think they probably get to 10 and that gets them in.
The Surprise: Oakland Raiders finish 8-8.  I think not having JaMarcus Russell at quarterback should mean 3-5 more wins for the silver and black.
Wildcard Round: Jets over Chargers, Ravens over Dolphins
Division Round: Colts over Jets, Ravens over Bengals
Championship Game: Ravens over Colts
Super Bowl Champion: Baltimore Ravens

0 Comments

The 2010 Chicago Bears Season

| September 3rd, 2010

Bears fans, be warned!  We are about to embark on a rickety roller coaster ride – this 2010 season – for at least seventeen weeks.  There are many possible outcomes, most of which we’ve discussed ad nauseam.  The disaster of a 5-11 season, missing the playoffs for the fourth straight year and an overhaul of football operations at Halas Hall.  The plodding, mundane nightmare of another campaign hovering around the .500 mark, missing the playoffs for the fourth straight year and an overhaul of football operations at Halas Hall.  A solid, respectable ten-win year and early playoff exit, subsequently followed by a city-wide debate over the future of Lovie, Jerry and company.  And then there’s always a wonderful winter, confetti and champagne, seas of orange sweeping the American landscape.

The Chicago Bears open with the Detroit Lions of “but it’s the Lions” fame.  A loss and a new refrain may be coined, “If they can’t beat the Lions…”  The Bears need that win, need to start 1-0 and then need to find a way to split their next four (at Cowboys, home Packers, at Giants and Panthers) before embarking on the easiest three-game stretch of their season (home Seahawks and Redskins, at Bills in Toronto).  Anything less than 4-4 after the first half of the year will make playing games in January a tall order.
Never one to succumb to optimism, I am succumbing to optimism.  Something about this year – the desperate staff, the lowered expectations, the toy maker/scientist offensive coordinator, smart free agent additions – makes me think the special is coming.  What is the special?  Double-digit wins.  A division title.  A trip to the NFC Championship Game.  Yes that would cement Jerry and Lovie’s place in Chicago for the next few years.  Yes that would probably upset some Bears fans, the ones who seem to enjoy rallying against coaches more than winning football games.  But it would also mean that Lovie Smith’s Bears would have won three division titles in the last six years.  And no matter how you slice it, that’s pretty good.
Last year the world got on the Bears bandwagon.  I did not, thinking the team would need half a year to put things together.  This year everybody has leapt off.  I’m saddling up and riding.  I’m allowing myself to do what I have prohibited myself from doing so many years previous.  I am believing in the Chicago Bears.  And I think you should too.  And if the ship sinks, we’ll each grab a violin and play.

0 Comments

Fourth Meaningless Game Notes

| September 2nd, 2010

We’re not going to be waiting till the second half happens.  Not a single player on the field will mean anything to the 2010 Chicago Bears.  Here are my first-half notes:

 

The Bears have finally brought in a backup quarterback that is capable of winning football games.  Todd Collins looked poised and polished at times, finding receivers across the field and checking down when appropriate. 

 

Can someone please explain the appeal of DJ Moore to me?  Everything I think he’s a complete waste on the defensive side of the ball he does something eveb more wasteful on special teams?  What purpose does his making the roster serve?  (Joshua Moore, on the other hand, might be able to play some kind of role.)

 

I don’t quite understand the Desmond Clark-to-fullback transition.  Clark may not be the fastest man on the roster but he is still our most reliable pass-catching tight end.  I can’t imagine he’ll be able to last an entire season withstanding the physical duress of a lead blocker.

 

I don’t know how the Bears are allocating roster slots but Garrett Wolfe can not make this team over Kahlil Bell.  Bell is a professional-caliber tailback and shows a genuine reluctance to being tackled.

 

If you’re struggling kicking field goals during the preseason, kick more field goals.  Don’t go for a fourth-and-one in the first quarter and certainly don’t throw an out route to Richard Angulo.  You’ve got a shot to work on something that will actually take place in the regular season.  Why not work on it?  (Nice to see the snap and kick executed at the end of the half.)

 

Brian Iwuh is pretty impressive at the linebacker.  He hits like a freight train and charges the hole like a running back.  I’d imagine he’s the sixth man right now at the position.

 

Of all the third-tier players that seem longshots to make the roster, Henry Melton seemed to have the most promise. 

0 Comments

Things to Look For in Cleveland

| September 1st, 2010

I’m not going to lie.  The chances of me getting away from some preexisting plans to watch the Bears fourth preseason game are not very good.  I’ll give some of it a watch when I come home later in the evening but the thought of watching our parade of rookie quarterbacks horrifies me.  Here’s what I will be watching for.

Who Plays, How Long.  We’ll know what positions Lovie & Co. are still undecided about by the amount of playing time allotted across the field.  Who is going to start opposite Orange Julius (and does it matter)?  Will Danieal Manning really be starting at free safety against Detroit (sweet God)?  Will the coaches want to see Chris Williams log some more playing time before the season opens (they might)?

Todd Collins.  Watching Collins navigate the offense will probably be the only real football-related item to keep an eye on.  I’m frequently obsessed with the backup quarterback at this time of year because it’s painful to think how bad this team will become should a defensive end roll up on the wrong part of Jay Cutler’s leg in Week Three.  Collins was a solid signing and it’d be refreshing to see him play an efficient, mistake-free game and instill some confidence in the position moving forward.

The Result and its Aftermath.  If the Bears lose this game, and I’m kind of hoping they do, it will be interesting to see how Lovie handles the winless preseason questions that will follow from the press.  There is literally no difference between 0-4 and 1-3 in the preseason but a meaningless win will soften the confrontation between media and coach.  Lovie can be pushed to testiness and I like it when that happens.  Why?  Because it’s an emotion.  And too often the stoic approach lends an arrogance to his tone.