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Bears & Packers: Final Notes

| January 22nd, 2011

NFL Says Soldier Field Sod in Good Shape

Read the article linked here.  Now if you believe the article you’ve just read, you are most likely one of the reported 60% of Americans who believe Noah’s Ark was an historical event.  I’m sincerely doubtful the Bears were working overtime to eradicate their most significant Soldier Field advantage.
Desmond Clark to Suit-Up Tomorrow
I understand that players like to use the Twitter but if I’m Lovie Smith I’m not pleased Desmond Clark personally leaked his playing status for tomorrow.  Even if Clark will have no role in the passing game aside from max protection schemes, giving players like Matthews and Woodson a day to study his tendencies as a blocker is simply not wise.  Every match-up, every moment, could be the decisive one tomorrow.
After Having Read All the Prognostications…
…I will say this: analysts are leading far too heavily on “the Packers are the better team.”  Are they?  Probably.  But it’s not the fault of the Bears that they earned a bye week and because of seeding landed the easier opponent in the Divisional Round.  The Packers had to beat the Eagles (barely) and the Falcons because they put themselves in that situation.  And now they are being predicted to go to the Super Bowl because of it.  Seems odd to me.
One More Radio Appearance Tonight
I’ll be on ESPN 1700 Des Moines (my home away from home) at 10:15 CST tonight with Trent Condon.  I really dig this show and am loving my appearance.  Click here to listen live.

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Bears/Pack: I Can’t Think About Anything Else

| January 22nd, 2011

  • I wonder how important this game will be in determining the off-season plan for Jerry Angelo and Bears management.  We know there will be tremendous focus on building the offensive line but if Aaron Rodgers shreds the Bears defense, I wonder how much attention will go their way.  If the defense stops Rodgers cold, you could make an argument for the same eleven starters next season.
  • Chris Harris has been on the Chicago Bears three of Lovie Smith’s seven seasons.  In those three seasons, the Bears are 35-13, three NFC North titles, 3-2 postseason record and an NFC championship.  In the other four seasons the Bears are 28-36 with zero postseason appearances.  Harris is listed as Questionable for tomorrow but says he will absolutely play.
  • It does not look like weather is going to be a major factor tomorrow, with little chance of precipitation and winds only gusting to around to about 9 mph.  
  • The more I think about the Bears passing game the more I think Earl Bennett is going to run some of those Rashied Davis routes from Week 17 and become Jay’s primary target to combat the aggressive Packers blitzes.
  • Mike Francesa brought it up a bunch on WFAN in New York this week and I think he’s right.  Jay Cutler has heard the media’s canonization of Aaron Rodgers this week and he’s going to attempt to make a statement.  Troy Aikman told Mike he thought the Bears would open ultra-conservative.  Joe Theismann believes Martz will allow him to take shots early.  Nobody knows anything but it’s what makes this game so interesting.
  • I’m not going to shill for a product so trust me on this.  The big hot dog from BigHotDog.com is one of the most remarkable things I’ve ever seen.  I’ll have photos up when we cook the thing.
  • I am not nervous about this game tomorrow.  I was nervous for the Seahawks game which was essentially a no-win for the Bears.  I am excited about this game.  I want it to happen.  I want it to be epic.  And I think it will be a great day for the Chicago Bears.

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Even More Audibles From the Long Snapper

| January 20th, 2011

I guess it’s that kind of week.  That kind of game.  For the first time since it’s initial debut, here comes the third Audibles in a single week.

Chris Harris/Major Wright – Bears Weakness to Watch
The Bears have put no starters on IR this season and are heading into the NFC Championship Game with only one player listed on the injury report: Chris Harris.  Harris, who Peter King named to his All-Pro team, said to reporters this week that it would take “a miraculous act of God” to keep him from suiting up.  If he struggles to stay on the field, the Bears will be relying on the oft-lost in coverage (but solid on contact) Major Wright to control one of the best passing games in the sport.  This puts an even greater emphasis on the pass rush and Orange Julius.  The more time Rodgers has to throw, the easier time he’ll have confusing and ultimately beating Wright.
The Tommie Harris Factor
If last week’s Divisional Round game were played in Week 12 or 13, I would have devoted an entire column to Tommie Harris’ performance – the way Dan Pompei eloquently did in the Tribune.  (Pompei is a good football writer and deserves credit for it.)  But I’ll say this about Harris: don’t tease us.  Don’t show up against the inferior opponent (Seattle), delivering a throwback-to-2005 performance and disappear against arguably the best team remaining in the tournament.  Harris has an opportunity Sunday to put away the last few years – slugging Deuce Lutui early in an important Cardinals game, countless benchings, mouthing off to press – and cement his legacy with the Chicago Bears and their fans.
Plays I Would Not Call Sunday
  • The quick slant route to the outside receiver – especially if that receiver is Knox or Hester.  It hasn’t worked all year and these corners will take it back for six.
  • The deep out (cover-2 splitter) where Cutler attempts to fit the ball above the corner and underneath the safety.  Don’t allow these corners the opportunity to win battles in space.
  • Anything that involves someone not called Jay Cutler throwing a pass.

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More Audibles From the Long Snapper

| January 19th, 2011

Lots of posts this week, kids, due to lots of traffic/interest in the site.  I keep it coming with a second dose of Audibles

Urlacher Wants Lovie Extended
Vaughn McClure reports that Brian Urlacher is now publicly lobbying for a contract extension for his head coach, Lovie Smith, and hopefully his opinion means nothing to the ownership of the Chicago Bears.  Brian Urlacher has been coached by two men: Dick Jauron and Lovie Smith.  Not surprising he believes Lovie is the man for the job.  There are very few worse times over the course of a season for this to be a topic of discussion.  Needless to say, the entire conversation is redundant currently.  If Lovie Smith beats the Green Bay Packers Sunday, he might be receiving a contract extension before kickoff of the Super Bowl in Dallas.
Martz Takes Blame for Week Seventeen  
Mad Mike is quoted in the Tribune, commenting on his work in the final week of the season: “Did not do a good job.”  Biting self-criticism.  There’s something very interesting about Mike Martz.  He’s got a Jekyll & Hyde personality.  He’s Jekyll when being interviewed by the press and Hyde when coaching football games.  This is the week for Martz to turn to the “C” chapter of the playbook.  Conservative.  Short passes, screens, runs.  Control the pace of play.  Take shots when they are there.
Packers Respect Hester a Great Deal
Mike McCarthy calls Devin Hester “the best player” on the Chicago Bears.  I don’t know if he’s right but he’s certainly the best returner in the history of the NFL.  The Pack’s ability in Week 17 to keep Hester contained and force the Bears to travel long fields was the reason the Bears struggled to score points.  The Bears are kind of a half-court offense.  If the Pack can repeat their success in the punt game, this time on the road, I’ll be impressed.  
“F” the Curse

sicutlersmall.jpg

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Packers at Bears NFC Championship Preview

| January 19th, 2011

I won’t sleep Saturday night and I might not sleep Friday night without the aid of my old friend Ethyl Alcohol.  If this were the Falcons on the opposing sideline, the Saints…who knows?  But it is the Green Bay Packers, the oldest rival of our beloved franchise, and I can’t stomach the notion of Aaron Rodgers holding the Halas Trophy at Soldier Field.

Your ‘On the Verge’ 2010 Chicago Bears
over
The Green Bay Packers Football Club

Why Do I Like the Chicago Bears this Week?
  • I always like the Chicago Bears.
  • I think it’s time to recognize the Bears have a significant home field advantage not only because of the crowd, wind and weather but also because their turf minimizes the speed of outside threats and restricts receivers from making slant cuts under the coverage.
  • Aaron Rodgers, outside a 37-point output in his first start, has scored 17, 21, 21, 17 and 10 in the subsequent five games against Lovie Smith’s defenses.  This is the best Bears defense he’ll have faced (better than Week 17).
  • I don’t believe for a second James Starks is the real deal at running back and I think the Packers will need to move the ball continually through the air to generate long drives.  The Bears defense is not the Falcons defense.
  • Maybe I’m misguided, “drinking the Kool-Aid” as they say, but I believe in the corner combination of Charles Tillman and Tim Jennings.  They are being left in man-to-man situations far more than usual and truly excelling at times.
  • Julius Peppers.  The Green Bay offensive line was not great against Atlanta, relying on Rodgers’ escapability to the outside.  I expect a big day from Orange Julius.  And when they kick and punt back to us…
  • Devin Hester.  When I saw Eric Weems return a kickoff 102 yards for a touchdown last week against the Packers, I sensed a long week of debate for Mike McCarthy.  For some reason I think the focal point of our conversations Monday morning will be Hester.
  • I do believe Matt Forte/Chester Taylor can improve on their 18 rush, 102-yard performance from Week 17 and I think it will be a product of usage.  With 8:10 remaining in that game and Bears facing a second-and-nine, the Bears were sacked on back-to-back plays ending the drive.  When they got the ball back, they ran twice to set up a third-and-one (with 3:59 on the clock) and never rushed the ball again.  Lovie believes they learned a lot in Week 17.  I think this sequence was a primary teacher.  
  • The Packers showed everything they had in the blitz department in Week 17 and I think the Bears will be prepared to attack with the short passing/screen game.  
  • I think I redeveloped my confidence in our return coverage with the unit’s near-dominant handling of Leon Washington.
  • I really believe this game will be decided by one person: Jay Cutler.  While he outwardly dislikes the media and seems to shrug off his own failings, I believe embraces competition in the truest sense and I think he knows the ultimate middle finger to the world would be outplaying Aaron Rodgers Sunday.  I think he does.
Chicago Bears 27, Green Bay Packers 17

Editor’s Note:  Fantasy Playoffs selections are due by 11:00 AM CST Friday.  Only ChiTown Hustler, Shady and MikeBrownhadaPosse are still outstanding.

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Some Ramblings & Five Packers To Watch

| January 19th, 2011

  • Editor’s Note: I’m still waiting on Fantasy Playoffs selections from ChiTownHustler, BigT, Sdwat52, Shady, Cormonster, MikeBrownhadaPosse, IrishSweetness and enderwiggin. (Email to jeff@dabearsblog.com)
  • Editor’s Note 2: I’ll be re-joining my friend Trent Condon on ESPN Des Moines at 4:15 CST.  
The media’s attention this week, in-and-around Chicago, has been bizarre when it comes to this week’s showdown between the Bears and the Packers.  Mike & Mike on ESPN Radio spent most of their interview with Brian Urlacher discussing new media golden boy Aaron Rodgers, quickly becoming the heir apparent to Brett Favre in more ways than filling his vacated position.  Steve Rosenbloom is becoming obsessed with fan behavior at Soldier Field.  David Haugh is writing about the Packers franchise-saving efforts. (How dare he??  If he didn’t save them, we wouldn’t have to face them now!!!)  The Sun-Times, in a desperate effort to top Brett Favre’s meaningless weekend prognostication, printed 200 year-old Buddy Ryan’s – not surprisingly the Bears and the Jets.
The directive is clear: write about the Bears and the Packers.  Write anything about the Bears and Packers.  But not one moment of that Mike & Mike interview and not one word of the articles by Rosenbloom, Haugh and some guy called Jim Litke mentioned what’s important about Sunday’s colossal ballgame: football plays.  Remember those?  The passes and runs and punts and tackles and bullrushes and double moves and strip sacks that actually will determine which team ends up in Dallas in two weeks, playing for the Super Bowl?
So let’s get to football and the five Packers that frighten me heading into Sunday…


Andrew Quarless

I start with the tight end for almost every opponent and last week Jeremy Bates and the Seahawks were clearly going to use John Carlson as the principle weapon in their attack.  After his injury and a big drop over the middle by Cameron Morrah, they seemed to abandon that game plan for the most part.  Quarless is nowhere near the player Finley was but I wouldn’t be surprised to see him utilized early in the game, exploiting the gap in the deep center of the defense.  If the Packers establish a run game, it’ll force our linebacker up and Quarless could become lethal.


Tramon Williams
Jay Cutler has found a bit of luck with corners dropping surefire interceptions that could have altered the flow of the game.  Williams has been the best defensive player in the postseason thus far (3 picks, 2 games) and if Cutler puts the ball near his hands he can expect six points going in the other direction.
Clay Matthews/Charles Woodson
Simply put: they are the blitz.  The Bears offensive line/running backs must pick up their locations on the perimeter and Cutler must know to go hot when the rushers find their lanes undefended.
Aaron Rodgers
We all know how good a thrower of the football Rodgers is but the Bears know what they’re getting from him in that department.  When the Bears get shots on Rodgers, which they will, they must get him to the ground and not enable him to either (1) find open receivers downfield or (2) scramble for yardage/points.  This element, the inability to get Rodgers to the ground, was the definitive factors in the Packers win Saturday night.

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The Sackman Cometh: Julius Peppers

| January 18th, 2011

Julius Peppers signed a six-year $91.5 million contract with the Bears in the spring – $42 million of that deal guaranteed.  Peppers signing in Chicago marked the arrival of the first certifiable sack man since perhaps Richard Dent to Lake Shore Drive and his presence improved the entirety of the defensive line, especially Israel Idonije on the other side.  I think it can be said, without argument, that Julius Peppers earned the $13 million plus he’ll receive for his performance over these first seventeen games of the 2010 campaign.

But this is game eighteen.  This is the Green Bay Packers in the NFC Championship Game at Soldier Field.  Some of the Chicago radio hosts, one with the last name Waddle, are looking to nickname this football game but that’s not how football games work.  Most classic football games are nicknamed by the conditions (see: Ice/Fog Bowls) or defined by plays within that game (see: Music City Miracle, The Catch). The action dictates the nickname.  Barring the miraculous within the game, the stage is set beforehand.  And this stage is set.  So forget about Peppers’ eight sacks, his nine passes defended, his two interceptions and his fifty-four tackles from the defensive end position.  Those statistics are the gaudy power numbers of a mid-lineup power hitter.  This is the postseason now and this is when stars must carry the day.
What I do want from Peppers Sunday?  A big hit.  The kind of big hit that alters the course of a football game by altering the mental state of the opposing quarterback.  Aaron Rodgers is playing the position better than any other man in the sport but all that can change with one hard journey to the finest turf in all the land (which is apparently worrying some folks who work in Wisconsin).  He wouldn’t be the only young, terrific quarterback of the NFC North who has seen his season come to an end at the hands of Orange Julius. 
Sunday is when fans are allowed to expect great things from their great players making great amounts of money.  Money that came from the fan’s wallet for the $9 MGD at the ballpark, the $24.95 ball cap at Sports Authority and the $80 Peppers throwback I see in front of me at Josie Wood’s on Sundays on the back of my buddy Hull.  Sunday is when great players make great plays.  Idonije, Toeaina, Harris, Melton, Wootton and Adams are good players.  Not great.  Peppers is.  And I expect him to play like it Sunday.  

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Da BigHotDog.Com Saturday Show!

| January 18th, 2011

big hot dog.jpg

Just click here: BigHotDog.com 

 

On this show: Dick Clark’s favorite song, “The Packer Dance” and all the usual stuff.  The Fantasy Playoff rosters available on the B-side.

Click here for the funniest Favre spoof I’ve seen on the internet.
Fantasy Playoffs Championship Round
There were some ballsy selections for this round, with several contestants leaving themselves with the possibility of no quarterback in the Super Bowl.  You’ll notice a certain running back will be a dominant factor in this week’s proceedings.  

Because of ChiTownHustler’s inability to get his selections in on time this week, he has been granted my default selections.  I decided not to eliminate him and risk bad karma.

Top Four advance to the Super Bowl.

BigT 
Ben Roethlisberger — Matt Forte — Greg Jennings

ChiTownHustler
Mark Sanchez — Chester Taylor — Greg Olsen

Cormonster
Ben Roethliesberger — Matt Forte — Mike Wallace

Doshi
Jay Cutler — Matt Forte — Heath Miller

enderwiggin
Jay Cutler — Matt Forte — Devin Hester

IrishSweetness
Aaron Rodgers — Rashard Mendenhall — Jordy Nelson

Jimmy Newport
Aaron Rodgers — Matt Forte — Mike Wallace

MikeBrownhadaPosse
Jay Cutler — Rashard Mendenhall — Santonio Holmes

Sdwat52
Ben Roethlisberger — Mewelde Moore — Hines Ward

Shady
Jay Cutler — Rashard Mendenhall — Santonio Holmes

Viva
Jay Cutler — Matt Forte — Heath Miller

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Audibles From the Long Snapper

| January 18th, 2011

‘Vanilla’ Approach a Definitive Advantage

Neil Hayes writes a very interesting column in the Sun-Times today, claiming the Bears gained a significant advantage by almost pulling a Week Seventeen upset over the Packers while instituting a vanilla scheme.  
His players gave every ounce of effort on the field. Smith even risked injuries to quarterback Jay Cutler and other prominent starters but left them in the game until the bitter end. What the Bears coach didn’t tell you, however, is that his staff didn’t game-plan for that game like they will prepare for the rubber match in the NFC Championship Game at Soldier Field on Sunday.  
While Hayes doesn’t have any direct quotes from organizational insiders or coaches, I think it was apparent to anyone who has watched this team that on that day, the game plan was very much vanilla.  (Unless you believe Rashied Davis is their number one weapon on the offensive side of the ball.)  I still maintain that the risk/reward of playing all the starters on the final Sunday was not worth it but if the Bears come out and play an inspired, dominant game this weekend and cite Week Seventeen as a reason, I may be willing to admit I was wrong.  Hell, if the Bears win Sunday I’ll admit I had a hand in the Madoff scandal.
Turf is the Essence of the Home Field Advantage in Chicago
Rick Morrissey, who seems to be coming around to this 2010 Bears season, writes eloquently and poetically about the grass at Soldier Field.  The Bears fans, the so-called 4th Phase, are usually as quick to boo the navy and orange as cheer them.  The weather may be fun but the Patriots and Jets offenses sure didn’t mind throwing the ball for huge chunks of yardage in it.  The turf is the equalizer, slowing down speed threats from beating the LoveRod Deuce deep and preventing big, physical receivers from making precise cuts on the slants routes that have killed this system for seven years.


The Aaron Rodgers Ignores Cancer Patient Thing

So if you don’t know the story, here it is.  Aaron Rodgers was walking through an airport and a woman suffering from cancer approached him for an autograph and he snubbed her.  Mike Florio picked up on the story at PFT and launched a pointed character attack on Rodgers’ until-now flawless image.  Subsequently the woman has expressed regret over Rodgers dealing with the criticism, claiming he’d signed autographs for her in the past.  You know what I think?  I think if this Lifetime drama starred Jay Cutler instead of Aaron Rodgers, it’d be front page news on ESPN and every one of those windbags on The Score would be using it as their rallying cry to root for the Packers this weekend.  This may not be a big deal but it proves that our sports media is quite selective as to which scandals they’d like to cover and which they chose to ignore.
Lovie Smith: Getting a Bit Tough?
When Smith was asked about the Packers injuries this season, he responded soundly with “All teams have injuries.”  The Packers have been flying the Injuries Flag for months and I’m tired of hearing it.  Lovie followed that up with some of his most candid comments in a long, long while:
“We don’t like each other. You don’t have to be in love with someone, or you can have some dislike, and not put it out in the media everyday. Believe me, there’s not a whole lot of love for us coming up north.”

I can’t lie.  I like it.  I like an honest, angry Lovie Smith.  And I hope it translates to the field on Sunday.