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Cutler and Rodgers are the Sunday Story

| January 17th, 2011

The labels that will be applied to the NFC Championship Game between the Bears and Packers at Soldier Field will be plentiful.  Epic.  Legendary.  Historic.  Colossal.  Prodigious.  Herculean. People, including me, will also pile out the match-ups that will determine the outcome.  Can the Bears block Clay Matthews and Charles Woodson on designed blitzes?  Can the Bears establish the run with Matt Forte on the outside?  How will the speed receivers of the Packers handle the turf?  Will Mike McCarthy punt to Devin Hester?  Was James Starks merely a flash in the pan against the Eagles’ mediocre run defense?

All of it, and I really mean all of it, is secondary.  It is backstory.  This past weekend, in Chicago and Atlanta, Jay Cutler and Aaron Rodgers wrote the preamble for this coming Sunday’s NFC Declaration of War.  Cutler’s four touchdowns, two while doing his best Steve Young impression and taking bit hits on designed runs in the red zone, was the finest postseason performance ever by a Bears quarterback.  Mr. Rodgers was Mr. Perfect, completing 86% of his passes, and shredding the Falcons defense like they were fielding The Red Rooster and Tito Santana at corner.
They are the story, Cutler and Rodgers.  The story this weekend.  And the story on Sundays in the NFC North division for the next decade.  Yes, Cutler and Rodgers have squared off four times in their now native uniforms but they’ve yet to square off when both teams, both men, both quarterbacks had real stake in the contest.  Rodgers opened his career against the Bears with a victorious 37-3 mauling but his prolific offenses have never scored more than twenty-one points against Lovie’s defenses since.  Cutler is only 1-3 against Green Bay, winning only on September 27th, and struggling with a TD-INT ratio of 4-9.  But Sunday at Soldier Field he’ll be able to erase the entirety of his regular season resume, just as the New York Jets erased the humiliation of their Monday night 45-3 loss to Big Billy Bells and the Patriots. 
The Bears and the Packers are the two best defenses in the conference, with the Packers maybe slightly ahead due to the brilliant play of their corners – Woodson and Tramon Williams.  The early weather prediction has the temperature topping out around 20 degrees with 10 MPH winds streaming off the lake.  (It should be noted that the weather report last Monday mentioned no possibility of snow for the Seahawks game.)  Couple that with the fact that all four of the meetings between Rodgers’ Packers and Cutler’s Bears have been decided by seven points or less and it’s not far-fetched to imagine it might only take one play, one big throw in the conditions, to book a ticket to Dallas and Super Bowl XLV.  (Side note: If it were not for the Super Bowl, would anyone use Roman numerals for anything ever?)
They are the story, Cutler and Rodgers.  The way quarterbacks always seem to be the story when the games leave the lounge and step onto the stage of the main room.  One of these quarterbacks will hold the trophy named for Pope Chicago Bear I, George S. Halas, and find himself sixty minutes from holding the trophy named for King Packer, Vince Lombardi.  These franchises are the novels of the National Football League.  These quarterbacks are the current chapters.  One, Rodgers, seems right out of Steinbeck – humble and heroic, having emerged triumphant from the shadow of the country’s most famous jeans salesman/penis photographer.  The other, Cutler, seems almost out of a Tarantino picture – the prickly anti-hero with an assassin’s spirit and a vocalized disregard for authority.  
One of their careers elevates to the next step at the final whistle around 5:00 PM CST.  But only one.  I know quarterbacks can’t win football games alone and I’m not arguing either of these men will.  Not with these defenses.  Not in these conditions.  But it has been seventy years since these storied franchises have played a game with this type of heroic potential.  And one of these men will be labeled a hero at Soldier Field.   

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Fantasy Playoffs Standings – Updated!

| January 17th, 2011

A couple notes on this week’s action.  Basically, if you played Aaron Rodgers (32 points) or Jay Cutler (27 points), you advanced (with one exception, keep reading).   If you played Matt Ryan (-3 points), you had no shot.  There were very few other players this weekend who put up mega numbers.  Since the 12th place individual was The Big Cheesy and there’s no way a Packers fan is writing a word on this site ever, I decided only to advance the top eleven.
The Advancers to the Championship Round
ChiTownHustler (50)
Doshi (50)
Sdwat52 (50)
BigT (47)
Viva (44)
Shady (44)
Jimmy Newport (42)
IrishSweetness (42)
Cormonster (41)
enderwiggin (41 – without selecting a receiver)
MikeBrownhadaPosse (38)

The Cuts
The Big Cheesy (30)
SC Dave (24)
sjvl (24)
Perno (3)
Bears-4-Ever (15)
FQD1911 (3)
WrigleyFM (18)
Warrior Waddle (18)
Michael L (24)
Bears85Sweetness23 (12)
reprisal (6)
Jokey (27)
85bearz4ever (24)
The next round of selections are due to me in an email (jeff@dabearsblog.com) by Friday at noon EST (11 am CST).  We do this because strategy now becomes incredibly important.  I will confirm receipt of your picks and publish the list of picks in the same post with the Saturday Show.  Only the top four will advance to the Super Bowl.

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Thoughts on Division Round Dominance

| January 17th, 2011

It was as dominant as the Chicago Bears have been this season, only letting the Seahawks make the game look closer by mailing in the last five minutes or so.  I have a lot of thoughts.

  • Good for Jay Cutler.  After taking some of the most personally pointed abuse of his career by Dick Reilly, Cutler put the offense on his back and led the way he’s needed to lead: on the field. 
  • When is the last time a Bears QB scored two rushing TDs on designed runs?
  • Greg Olsen not only looked like the best tight end in the league but he blocked like one of the best tight ends in the league.
  • Every guy along the offensive line played well.  I don’t have game tape and I don’t need it to realize that Jay had hours to throw the ball at times.  
  • Another note on the o-line.  When Webb and Omiyale push the perimeter rushers up field and the middle of the line holds, it gives Jay the pass/run option and has led to the most productive plays for the Bears over the last 9 games.
  • Did Brad Maynard and Corey Graham spend all week to together?  Graham seemed to know exactly where each punt was going to land and was brilliant covering them.
  • Charles Tillman.  The best game played by a Bears cornerback in a generation.
  • Our defensive line has to be the deepest in the league and they are downright frightening when Tommie Harris plays like Tommie Harris.
  • If Chris Harris is significantly injured and Major Wright plays every down next week, it’s a reason to be concerned.
  • I felt pretty good watching Brian Urlacher shed an offensive lineman and tackle a back for a loss.
  • Devin Hester is a remarkable kick returner but he is still a puzzle to me (and I think Mike Martz) at wide receiver.
  • I like these games where Robbie Gould just kicks off and makes extra points.
There will be a lot of writing on this space this week as we prepare for the biggest game in the history of the sport’s oldest rivalry.  I’ll have the updates Fantasy Playoff standings in a few hours.

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In Response to Rick Reilly

| January 13th, 2011

Rick Reilly is the Dave Barry of sportswriting and Dave Barry is to comedy what Antonio Cromartie is to not fathering nine children with eight different women.  In Reilly’s anti-Cutler column currently running on the ESPN home page, he levels charges against Cutler as severe as texting while ignoring John Lynch, watching TV while ignoring John Elway and not wanting to answer the questions of reporters at a press conference.  I say we string him up!

Here is Reilly’s final condemnation:

Reporter: When you were a kid, which quarterback did you look up to?

Cutler: Nobody.

Reporter: Nobody? You didn’t look up to anybody?

Cutler: No.

If he’s lying, it makes him a miscreant. If he’s telling the truth, it makes him a miscreant.

“Deep, deep down, I think he’s a really good guy,” Waddle says.

Maybe. But why do we have to look that deep?

Reilly’s hypothesis, of course, ignores the other obvious conclusion to be drawn from Cutler’s answer: he doesn’t like reporters.  You know reporters, right?  The ones who vilified him publicly and canonized Josh McDaniels in the aftermath of the Denver scandal?  (How’d that work out for Denver?)  The ones who have been quick to criticize every interception he’s thrown while ignoring his franchise record-setting productivity?  The ones who have written every week that Denver actually won the trade with the Bears by acquiring Kyle Orton, a player that has been benched for a quarterback who doesn’t possess the ability to throw the football accurately?

Rick Reilly has made his career writing about crippled ex-cops stealing home in the Bayonne Tavern Softball Tournament and blind guys winning gold medals at Binghamton Discus Championships.  He wants his athletes to be lovable because he, like a lot of sports journalists, crave a relationship with the athlete.  If they don’t let him in, don’t have a beer with him on the weekend, don’t talk about their personal lives, then he’s just a journalist.  A reporter covering others.  And if he wanted to remain a journalist, he would never have signed with ESPN.
Jay Cutler plays football Sunday.  And if he wins Sunday, he’ll be sixty minutes from the Super Bowl.  And being that I’ve never learned anything from a player interview and never cared about a player’s personal life, Mr. Cutler can stand in front of the microphone and flip the bird at the press for all I care.  I wanna buy a shitload of World Champion merchandise.  If he helps with that, I’m good.

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Seahawks at Bears Divisional Round Thread

| January 13th, 2011

A win and the Chicago Bears advance to the NFC Championship Game, at home, against the Green Bay Packers.  A win and the Chicago Bears are sixty minutes from the Super Bowl.  A win is all that is needed.


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Saturday Show & Fantasy Playoffs Round 2

| January 13th, 2011

o

On this episode: Songs about Matt Hasselbeck and Favre’s meth-lab sister, Viva and I square off in the Picks Champions League, the Reverend rants against misplaced anger towards Jerry Angelo and I monologue about what would make 2010 a successful season.
All your pivotal Fantasy Playoffs information is on the B-side…

And now we enter the Divisional Round of the Fantasy Playoffs, with twenty-four bloggers still competing to winning the monthly off-season column.  The remaining competitors are:

Jokey — Wrigley FM — enderwiggin — Perno — Shady — Viva — Jimmy Newport  Bears-4-Ever — SC Dave — sjvl — ChiTownHustler — Doshi — FQD1911  WarriorWaddle — BigT — Sdwat52 — Michael L — Bears85Sweetness23  Cormonster — MikeBrownhadaPosse — IrishSweetness — reprisal  TheBigCheesy — 85bearz4ever

Things to know:
  1. You can not select any of the three players you selected for the Wild Card round.
  2. My goal is to eliminate half the field this week.  So tiebreakers will come into play.
  3. I will not be as quick with the updated standings as I was last week since I’ll be nowhere near a computer for most of the day Sunday.  (Hopefully I’ll start drinking heavily at 4:15 PM EST in a celebratory mode.)
  4. Starting next week, the picks will be submitted to me via e-mail, as the strategy becomes interesting.  I’ll explain this more as we celebrate the Seahawks win (knock on everything) and prepare for the NFC Championship Game.
Submit your picks below.  You have until 4:00 PM EST (3:00 PM CST) Saturday to get your names in.

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Seahawks at Bears Divisional Round Preview

| January 12th, 2011

It is why we argue and debate from mid-February until
early-September about the make-up of the roster and alignment of the coaching
staff.  It is why we spend that sleepless
night before opening day, like an eight year-old on Christmas Eve, anticipating
the action figure he’s coveted for the weeks and months previous.  It is why, win or lose, we fight with rival
fans, the national media and the skeptic inside ourselves in defense of our
favorite football team: the Chicago Bears. 
It is the playoffs.  And it has
come to Soldier Field.

 

YOUR DESTINY IS NOW
2010 CHICAGO BEARS

Over

Seattle
Seahawks

 

Why do I like the Chicago Bears this week?

  • I always like the Chicago Bears.
  • The best thing that happened to the Bears all season turned
    out to be their defeat at the hands of Seahawks in Week Six.  How can you take an opponent for granted when
    that opponent has already beaten you at home? 
    The Bears defense, a prideful bunch, was embarrassed by Matt Hasselbeck and
    will not want to see history repeated. 
    Defensive POY candidate Julius Peppers was handled sufficiently by
    rookie Russell Okung and I suspect he’ll be angling for revenge.  There will be a rallying call at Halas Hall
    this week and that call will be 23-20.
  • Very few opponents can cancel out Leon Washington.  The Bears don’t just call Washington,
    they raise him Devin Hester.
  • I believe the Bears will have success running the ball to
    the edges of the ‘Hawk defense with Matt Forte, who has simply been one of the
    best backs in football over the last five or six weeks.
  • That running success outside will open up the two needed facets
    of the pass game: shots down field to the speed receivers and quick tosses to
    G-Reg (catch the damn thing) and Earl Bennett. 
  • I think the Seahawks will have minimal success running the
    ball and getting it outside to Mike Williams, taking advantage of
    off-coverage.  I don’t believe they’ll
    have enough success with either to control the game.
  • I think we shouldn’t forget that while Mike Williams was the
    chains-mover for the Seahawks, it was Ma Hass making big throws down the
    sidelines, specifically to Deon Butler, that put points on the board.  Unless Marshawn Lynch takes over the game, I
    expect LoveRod to stay in a disciplined cover-2 shell.
  • I don’t pretend to understand the psyche of Jay Cutler.  I don’t think anyone other Cutler does.  But I have to believe that a competitor of his nature will relish this opportunity while understanding he can not take the kinds of chances he’s taken repeatedly in the regular season.  He has to understand that throwing the ball away is necessary to prevent a two or three-yard loss on a crucial second down.  He has to understand that the Super Bowl, the grandest of all football stages, is within his team’s grasp.  If he doesn’t understand these things, he’s not the leader or player I think he is.  18-24, 240 yards, 2 touchdowns.
  • Name one thing the Seahawks do better than the Bears.  I can’t either.  Put the game in Soldier Field and the Bears have no excuse but to win this game.

Chicago Bears 27, Seattle Seahawks 13

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Audibles From the Long Snapper

| January 11th, 2011

Hasselbeck Says Briggs Takes Game to “Another Level”

Matt Hasselbeck wants to carry over the confidence from their early-season victory at Soldier Field but believes Lance Briggs being on the field squelches that a bit:
“He’s huge,” Hasselbeck said. “I think he’s arguably one of the best defensive players in the game. I think he’s a great player. Going into the game we fully expected him to play. He didn’t play, and that was a big deal…so for us to sit back and say, ‘Hey, we beat them at their place, we can do it again.’ That would be a dangerous way to feel because Lance Briggs did not play in that game. He is big, big-time difference maker and a great football player. So as hard as this game is going to be, the fact that he’s back up takes it to another level.”

Hasselbeck is right.  Lance Briggs is one of the best defensive players in the sport.  But the Saeahawks did not beat the Bears on the ground or by exploiting the middle of the field.  They beat the Bears by going after LoveRod’s soft corner coverage and finding Mike Williams in space on pivotal third downs.  I’m not sure Lance Briggs would have been a distinguishing factor in that area.


Hot Peppers?
Steve Rosenbloom, in his now boringly negative style that seems Mariotti-esque, makes a whole lot points on his Trib blog that worth ignoring but does end with this:
Julius Peppers. Oh, I know, the Bears paid his too much money to cut him, and he has had a wonderful season — All-Pro when you consider what he has done with Harris starting — but I mention his name here for game-specific reasons: He isn’t going to get owned by a rookie tackle again, right? This is the game — the start of a month of games — that the Bears really paid all that money for.

I think Julius Peppers’ performance against the Seahawks and rookie Russell Okung was perhaps his worst (and only truly bad one) of the 2010 season.  I don’t think that performance has sat well with him all season and I expect an inspired effort on Sunday.


Lovie Smith was asked about how they’ll alter their approach to Mike Williams and gave little in response.  (I can’t believe I just wrote that sentence.)

Pete Carroll believes Tatupu and Obomanu will play this week.  Obomanu dislocated his shoulder Saturday and still came back to the field and made plays.  Tatupu suffered a concussion so he is at the will of whoever it is that decides players are over concussions.  (For the record, I would love for someone to send me these concussion tests.  I’m betting 50% of the American public can not pass these things even when they haven’t been slammed to turf by a 250+ pound man in pads.)

Devin Hester says he won’t put extra pressure on himself Sunday and he shouldn’t.  But I expect Pete Carroll to trust Olindo Mare’s ability to kick the ball into the end zone for touchbacks.  If he does, Hester will have this chances to change the game.

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Lovie Smith and the Stakes of Sunday

| January 10th, 2011

Mark Potash believes Lovie Smith can not lose this game against the Seattle Seahawks.  Not at home.  Not against an inferior opponent.  And not while operating under his current contract.

Lovie Smith has been among the highest paid coaches in the NFL over the three seasons prior to this one, with nothing to show for it. It’s time for him to hold up his end of the bargain.

While I don’t imagine a loss to the Seahawks on Sunday will cost Lovie Smith his job, the question that could be raised is an interesting one: what does this ballgame mean for Mr. Smith?

Many of us believed, when the season began, a playoff victory for the Bears in 2010 would validate Lovie’s tenure and lead to a surefire contract extension (if not also an extension for GM Jerry Angelo).  But does a win, at home, against the 8-9 Seattle Seahawks really validate anything?  If the Bears knocked the Saints or Eagles out of the playoffs this Sunday one could easily make the argument that 2010 was a resounding success, as its doubtful Vegas would have extended the Bears even the customary three-point home advantage against either of those opponents.  But the Seahawks?  How can Halas Hall draw up a $15 mil contract for holding serve as double-digits favorites at home against a losing club?

A loss would be nothing short of devastating.  Lovie enters Sunday’s game with the better offense, defense and special teams.  The same case could be made for/against Sean Payton (special teams is debatable there) but Payton was on the road and coming off a Super Bowl title.  Lovie is coming off three consecutive non-playoff years and most of the Chicago Bears faithful consider victory on Sunday a guarantee if the Bears merely play well.  Not even solid.  Just…well.

What’s the best outcome for Lovie Sunday?  A dominant, two-touchdown victory that springboards the Bears into the NFC Championship Game.  If that game is in Atlanta, the Bears will be underdogs and Lovie will find himself in a no-lose scenario.  If that game is at home against the Packers, well, I’ll guess I’ll have another column like this for you next Wednesday.